Colima vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 1
COL
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
ZAC
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
EST
1 - 1
COL
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
GAV
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ZAC
0 - 1
DUR
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DUR
5 - 0
GAV
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
REB
2 - 4
DUR
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
DUR
2 - 0
ASL
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
DUR
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |