Coleshill Town FC vs Daventry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
5º
14º
6º
24
10º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
66 | 67 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
64 | 67 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
64 | 65 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
64 | 65 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 41 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
|
19º
|
24 | 24 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleshill Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
COL
55%
22%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
COL
3 - 0
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STA
2 - 1
COL
78%
14%
7%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 1
COL
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
COL
4 - 4
LEE
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Daventry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DAV
3 - 2
SHE
21%
21%
59%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
DAV
78%
14%
7%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DAV
1 - 4
HAL
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STA
4 - 0
DAV
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
DAV
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |