Coleraine vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
5º
6º
6º
74
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 8 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 7 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 6 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 3 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
|
6º
|
59 | 2 |
6º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
40% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
60% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 1
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 2
COL
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
LAR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 1
COL
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 5
LIN
12%
22%
66%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
7 - 0
NEW
76%
17%
7%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |