Colegiales vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
COL
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
EST
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
COL
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
ESP
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
COL
24%
30%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
STM
52%
29%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 1
MOR
31%
31%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
DEF
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
FEN
34%
32%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
TAL
2 - 1
DEF
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |