Colchester United vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 1
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
SHW
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BCF
4 - 1
COL
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
HAR
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EXE
1 - 1
COL
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
HAR
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 1
TRA
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
MKD
3 - 0
TRA
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 0
STE
26%
29%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BCF
2 - 0
TRA
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |