Colchester United vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
CUM
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
EXE
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 0
COL
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
COL
2 - 2
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 0
STE
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
WAL
0 - 1
NEW
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 2
FOR
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
EXE
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |