Colchester United vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
COL
2 - 4
CHA
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
BAT
1 - 3
COL
20%
25%
55%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
REA
2 - 0
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 2
COL
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
COL
2 - 2
WAL
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
DAR
0 - 2
MIL
10%
19%
71%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CRY
5 - 4
MIL
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 0
MIL
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MIL
3 - 0
POS
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 2
MIL
26%
28%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |