Colchester United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
CHE
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
STE
2 - 4
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
LUT
0 - 1
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
NOT
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
COL
46%
25%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 3
GRI
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 3
CUM
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CRE
1 - 1
CUM
23%
25%
53%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CUM
2 - 1
YEO
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 1
CUM
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |