Cognac vs Tours II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
COG
5 - 1
MAL
63%
20%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
COG
0 - 1
LES
41%
27%
33%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
COG
2 - 0
BLO
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAU
3 - 0
COG
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 0
COG
27%
25%
49%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Tours II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
TOU
1 - 2
BLO
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SAU
1 - 1
TOU
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TOU
3 - 3
STP
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 3
TOU
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
TOU
4 - 1
LPS
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |