Cogenhoe United vs Newport Pagnell Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cogenhoe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 2
COG
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COG
2 - 1
EAS
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
EYN
2 - 0
COG
30%
22%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
COG
1 - 1
DES
68%
17%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
COG
1 - 1
POT
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newport Pagnell Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
EYN
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 1
GOD
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 1
COV
47%
22%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
RUG
3 - 1
NEW
39%
23%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
LUT
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |