Cobresal vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CSL
0 - 1
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CUR
2 - 1
CSL
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CSL
3 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
HUA
2 - 1
CSL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CSL
0 - 0
NUB
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
IQU
65%
21%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 0
COB
49%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DLS
0 - 1
UCO
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CSD
1 - 1
UCO
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |