Copa Chile . Last 16
Global 2-2
Cobresal vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ULC
2 - 1
CSL
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CSL
0 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SWA
4 - 1
CSL
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CSL
2 - 0
DLS
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CSL
2 - 1
COB
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UCH
2 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
COB
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAL
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CSL
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |