Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
COA
5 - 0
MWA
49%
27%
25%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SIM
2 - 0
COA
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
TAN
2 - 2
COA
46%
29%
25%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
MBE
2 - 0
COA
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
COA
0 - 1
POL
26%
30%
44%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
POL
0 - 1
KAG
43%
30%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 0
IFC
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
KAG
1 - 0
TAN
41%
30%
29%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
KAG
3 - 1
RUV
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 3
KAG
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |