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Segunda Nueva Zelanda. Continente, Matchday 13

Coastal Spirit vs Selwyn United analysis

Coastal Spirit Selwyn United
12 ELO 8
83% Tilt 6%
9479º General ELO ranking 11077º
41º Country ELO ranking 130º
ELO win probability
70.9%
Coastal Spirit
16.2%
Draw
13%
Selwyn United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
Coastal Spirit
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13%
Win probability
Selwyn United
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coastal Spirit
+67%
+40%
Selwyn United

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cashmere Technical
35
35
100%
Coastal Spirit
28
28
100%
Christchurch United
24
24
100%
Nelson Suburbs
21
21
100%
Selwyn United
18
18
50%
Nomads Utd
18
18
50%
Ferrymead Bays
15
15
100%
Halswell United FC
1
1
100%
Expected probabilities
Coastal Spirit
Selwyn United
Next phase
100% 50%
Mid-table
0% 50%

ELO progression

Coastal Spirit
COA
Selwyn United
SUF
Christchurch United
CHR
Nomads Utd
NOM
Cashmere Technical
CAS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coastal Spirit
Coastal Spirit
1%
X%
2%
ELO COA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jun. 2021
COA
Coastal Spirit
2 - 0
Halswell United FC
HAL
47%
27%
26%
178 142 36 0
18 Jun. 2021
CHR
Christchurch United
4 - 3
Coastal Spirit
COA
46%
27%
27%
180 155 -25 -2
12 Jun. 2021
NOM
Nomads Utd
4 - 1
Coastal Spirit
COA
46%
27%
27%
181 156 -25 -2
07 Jun. 2021
COA
Coastal Spirit
8 - 0
Burwood AFC
BUR
45%
27%
28%
177 175 2 +4
04 Jun. 2021
COA
Coastal Spirit
1 - 3
Cashmere Technical
CAS
42%
28%
30%
178 247 -69 -1

Matches

Selwyn United
Selwyn United
1%
X%
2%
ELO SUF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2021
SUF
Selwyn United
3 - 0
Halswell United FC
HAL
46%
27%
27%
134 140 -6 +2
07 Jun. 2021
CAS
Cashmere Technical
4 - 0
Selwyn United
SUF
49%
26%
25%
137 249 112 -3
05 Jun. 2021
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
1 - 1
Selwyn United
SUF
46%
27%
26%
137 204 67 0
29 May. 2021
SUF
Selwyn United
3 - 2
Ferrymead Bays
FER
46%
27%
27%
136 157 -21 +1
21 May. 2021
CHR
Christchurch United
3 - 3
Selwyn United
SUF
45%
27%
28%
136 150 14 0