Coastal Spirit vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SUF
1 - 3
COA
8%
14%
79%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
COA
2 - 0
NOM
71%
16%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
COA
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
HAL
2 - 4
COA
7%
13%
80%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
FER
1 - 4
COA
27%
22%
52%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
FER
0 - 2
NSF
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NSF
3 - 1
CHR
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SUF
2 - 2
NSF
6%
12%
82%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NSF
2 - 3
NOM
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NSF
5 - 2
HAL
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |