Coalville Town vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coalville Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 1
COA
63%
20%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
COA
5 - 2
NOR
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
COA
2 - 2
TIV
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 2
COA
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
COA
2 - 3
GRE
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
BRI
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
CHA
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
TIV
2 - 0
CHA
38%
24%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 2
RFC
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
SUT
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |