12 de Octubre vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
12O
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
CCP
2 - 1
12O
59%
24%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
12O
1 - 3
JLM
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
OLI
4 - 1
12O
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
RES
0 - 1
12O
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
RES
49%
25%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
JLM
1 - 2
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
40%
29%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |