12 de Octubre vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
12O
0 - 2
CCP
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
12O
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
12O
2 - 1
LIB
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
LQE
1 - 0
12O
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
12O
0 - 5
AME
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 0
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 4
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
26%
44%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |