12 de Octubre vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
12O
1 - 3
CCP
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 3
12O
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
12O
0 - 0
SPT
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
12O
3 - 1
RPA
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
12O
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 3
OLI
34%
28%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
LQE
2 - 2
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
OLI
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CER
3 - 0
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |