Copa Simón Bolívar . Last 16
Global 10-2
Club Universitario vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
9.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
14.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
18.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.3%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.8%
6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
6%
1%
Win probability
0.2
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ROS
0 - 3
UNI
4%
11%
85%
|
59 | 14 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
6 - 0
BER
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BER
1 - 0
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
7 - 2
ADP
93%
7%
1%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 1
UNI
10%
18%
72%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ROS
0 - 3
UNI
4%
11%
85%
|
14 | 59 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HUA
0 - 1
ROS
94%
5%
1%
|
13 | 55 | 42 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
ROS
2 - 6
HUA
4%
11%
85%
|
13 | 55 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
WCO
2 - 0
ROS
71%
16%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
ROS
2 - 1
CAA
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |