Santa María de Oro vs Deportivo Achirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa María de Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PSM
1 - 1
SMO
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SMO
0 - 1
COL
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
VIA
2 - 1
SMO
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
SMO
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Achirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ACH
2 - 2
URU
15%
23%
63%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LBC
2 - 4
ACH
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ACH
0 - 0
BEL
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ACH
0 - 0
PSM
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
ACH
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -2 |