Mercedes vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercedes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CBA
1 - 0
MER
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
YUP
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CES
2 - 0
MER
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
DPA
56%
22%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MUÑ
4 - 1
MER
38%
24%
37%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 0
DPA
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
ARR
26%
27%
48%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 2
JUU
58%
24%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SBA
0 - 1
ARR
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 1
CAM
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |