Marino de Luanco vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
COL
68%
23%
10%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
TUI
1 - 1
MAR
14%
22%
65%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
MAR
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SPB
1 - 2
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
TUI
64%
23%
13%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
AVI
4 - 1
CAU
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AVI
4 - 2
TOR
68%
19%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
COV
0 - 1
AVI
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 0
AVI
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 0
COV
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |