Independiente vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
IBE
5 - 1
CIP
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2001 |
CIP
0 - 2
BLO
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
UNI
2 - 0
CIP
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
CIP
2 - 2
STR
46%
25%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
CIP
3 - 3
JWI
47%
24%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 0
OPE
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
BOL
3 - 2
OPE
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
JWI
3 - 3
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
RPO
1 - 2
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
BOL
5 - 2
GUA
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |