Cienciano vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SPC
5 - 0
CIE
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CIE
0 - 1
GAR
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPC
3 - 3
CIE
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
GAL
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 1
CIE
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 3
HUA
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 0
UNI
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GAL
4 - 0
UNI
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 3
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |