Cienciano vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 2
CIE
37%
26%
38%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
CIE
5 - 2
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AYA
1 - 1
CIE
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 2
CIE
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CIE
1 - 0
ALI
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
UTC
0 - 1
SAM
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 2
SAM
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
AYA
2 - 2
SAM
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |