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Potiguar. Matchday 4

Club Centenario Pauferrense vs Baraunas analysis

Club Centenario Pauferrense Baraunas
47 ELO 38
34% Tilt -21%
21356º General ELO ranking 16514º
666º Country ELO ranking 352º
ELO win probability
69.1%
Club Centenario Pauferrense
19.4%
Draw
11.4%
Baraunas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
Club Centenario Pauferrense
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.4%
Win probability
Baraunas
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
ABC
23
23
100%
América RN
17
17
100%
Santa Cruz RN
16
16
100%
Club Centenario Pauferrense
15
15
100%
Potiguar Mossoró
14
14
100%
Coríntians RN
12
12
100%
ASSU
11
11
50%
Baraunas
11
11
50%
Alecrim
7
7
100%
Potyguar
10º
3
3
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Club Centenario Pauferrense
Baraunas
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Baraunas
BAR
Club Centenario Pauferrense
CCP
Potiguar Mossoró
POT
Potyguar
ACD
Coríntians RN
COR
América RN
ARN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Club Centenario Pauferrense
Club Centenario Pauferrense
1%
X%
2%
ELO CCP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2010
ABC
ABC
3 - 1
Club Centenario Pauferrense
CCP
44%
27%
29%
825 804 -21 -1
18 Mar. 2010
CCP
Club Centenario Pauferrense
4 - 3
Alecrim
ALE
56%
24%
20%
821 263 558 0
14 Mar. 2010
CCP
Club Centenario Pauferrense
4 - 0
Potyguar
ACD
46%
27%
26%
820 811 9 +1
28 Feb. 2010
SAN
Santa Cruz RN
2 - 0
Club Centenario Pauferrense
CCP
39%
27%
34%
821 532 -289 -1
21 Feb. 2010
CCP
Club Centenario Pauferrense
1 - 0
ASSU
ASS
46%
27%
26%
816 799 17 +1

Matches

Baraunas
Baraunas
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2010
BAR
Baraunas
0 - 3
Potiguar Mossoró
POT
47%
27%
26%
535 456 79 -1
18 Mar. 2010
ABC
ABC
4 - 0
Baraunas
BAR
53%
26%
21%
536 803 267 -1
14 Mar. 2010
BAR
Baraunas
1 - 1
ASSU
ASS
39%
28%
33%
532 807 -275 0
28 Feb. 2010
ALE
Alecrim
2 - 1
Baraunas
BAR
39%
27%
34%
533 265 -268 -1
25 Feb. 2010
BAR
Baraunas
2 - 0
Santa Cruz RN
SAN
47%
27%
26%
528 525 3 +1