Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Centenario Pauferrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 2
COR
46%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
ARN
5 - 0
CCP
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 4
POT
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
CCP
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 55 | -10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 3
ABC
46%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 2
ARN
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ASS
3 - 2
ABC
46%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 3
ATL
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 1
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
ALE
2 - 0
ASS
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 42 | -23 | 0 |