Aurora vs Nacional Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
STR
2 - 2
AUR
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 6
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 1
BLO
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
AUR
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BLO
4 - 0
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 1
DES
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 2
REA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RPO
1 - 4
NAC
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |