Aurora vs Guabirá Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
RPO
1 - 1
AUR
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 8
ROY
25%
25%
49%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 1
SAC
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
STR
2 - 0
AUR
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
3 - 2
BLO
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BLO
0 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 1
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
BOL
29%
24%
48%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
4 - 0
RPO
62%
21%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
4 - 4
GUA
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |