Aurora vs Fancesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
AUR
8%
20%
72%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
CIC
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CIC
0 - 0
AUR
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FAN
0 - 1
AUR
8%
20%
72%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | -3 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
AME
86%
11%
3%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Fancesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FAN
4 - 1
CIC
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AME
3 - 1
FAN
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FAN
3 - 2
AME
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FAN
0 - 1
AUR
8%
20%
72%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CIC
1 - 1
FAN
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |