Atletico Peñarol vs Villa San Antonio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAH
2 - 2
CAP
22%
20%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
3 - 2
MIT
62%
20%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AOO
0 - 1
CAP
33%
22%
45%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CAP
1 - 0
CEN
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Villa San Antonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VSA
2 - 0
MIT
66%
18%
16%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
VSA
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VSA
2 - 0
CAH
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AOO
1 - 1
VSA
30%
21%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |