Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . Final
Global 4-2
Club Atlético Güemes vs Deportivo Achirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Atlético Güemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
ACH
2 - 1
CAG
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CAG
2 - 0
ATE
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ATE
0 - 1
CAG
27%
26%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAG
3 - 2
DAT
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
DAT
0 - 1
CAG
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Achirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
ACH
2 - 1
CAG
44%
26%
30%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ACH
2 - 1
BHU
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BHU
2 - 1
ACH
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ACH
2 - 0
CAC
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAC
1 - 0
ACH
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |