Cerro CA vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CER
0 - 1
RIV
41%
27%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SUD
0 - 2
CER
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CER
0 - 0
JUN
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
CER
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CER
0 - 0
NAC
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
OHI
47%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
ANT
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
UCH
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |