Cerro CA vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
DAN
2 - 3
CER
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ROC
4 - 1
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
CER
2 - 4
MWA
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
CER
0 - 0
PEÑ
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CER
2 - 1
JUN
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 1
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
TAC
0 - 3
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
REN
1 - 2
RIV
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
CSC
0 - 0
RIV
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 1
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |