Cerro CA vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
7º
2º
10
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 0
CER
38%
28%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CER
1 - 1
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
34%
29%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
CER
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CER
0 - 0
CEL
40%
30%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RAC
4 - 1
PLA
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 2
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 2
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
PLA
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |