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Transición Segunda Uruguay. Matchday 16

Cerro CA vs Racing Montevideo analysis

Cerro CA Racing Montevideo
53 ELO 46
-53% Tilt 13%
964º General ELO ranking 2274º
15º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
27.3%
Cerro CA
33.3%
Draw
39.4%
Racing Montevideo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
Cerro CA
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
19%
33.3%
Draw
0-0
17.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.3%
39.4%
Win probability
Racing Montevideo
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cerro CA
-24%
+18%
Racing Montevideo

Points and table prediction

Cerro CA
Their league position
Racing Montevideo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
31
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Albion FC
36
43
40%
Racing Montevideo
31
40
26%
Danubio
31
38
21%
Defensor Sporting
30
40
16%
Cerro CA
27
35
25%
Juventud
26
32
27%
Central Español FC
22
29
24%
Atenas
21
29
24%
Uruguay Montevideo
21
26
29%
Rampla Juniors
10º
15
19
10º
49%
Rocha FC
11º
12
18
11º
39%
Villa Teresa
12º
10
14
12º
58%
Expected probabilities
Cerro CA
Racing Montevideo
Champion
2% 24%
Promotion
7% 26%
Promotion playoffs
70% 50%
Mid-table
21% 0%

ELO progression

Racing Montevideo
RAC
Cerro CA
CER
Villa Teresa
VIL
Defensor Sporting
DEF
Juventud
JUV
Central Español FC
CEN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cerro CA
Cerro CA
1%
X%
2%
ELO CER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2021
ROC
Rocha FC
1 - 3
Cerro CA
CER
31%
27%
42%
1068 480 -588 +3
06 Aug. 2021
CER
Cerro CA
1 - 1
Danubio
DAN
41%
28%
31%
1068 1262 -194 0
31 Jul. 2021
JUN
Rampla Juniors
0 - 1
Cerro CA
CER
37%
28%
35%
1065 701 -364 +2
21 Jul. 2021
CER
Cerro CA
0 - 1
Uruguay Montevideo
UMO
62%
21%
16%
1070 435 635 -5
15 Jul. 2021
JUV
Juventud
3 - 1
Cerro CA
CER
42%
28%
30%
1075 936 -139 -5

Matches

Racing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
1%
X%
2%
ELO RAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2021
JUV
Juventud
2 - 0
Racing Montevideo
RAC
53%
25%
22%
795 938 143 -4
07 Aug. 2021
RAC
Racing Montevideo
2 - 0
Villa Teresa
VIL
55%
24%
21%
791 422 369 +3
29 Jul. 2021
ALB
Albion FC
0 - 0
Racing Montevideo
RAC
37%
28%
35%
792 434 -358 -1
22 Jul. 2021
ATE
Atenas
0 - 0
Racing Montevideo
RAC
42%
27%
31%
793 612 -181 0
15 Jul. 2021
RAC
Racing Montevideo
1 - 0
Central Español FC
CEN
49%
26%
25%
790 700 90 +3