Cerro CA vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CER
0 - 3
PEÑ
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CER
1 - 3
FEN
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
REN
3 - 1
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
CER
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 2
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 1
DAN
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 1
RAC
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 0
RAF
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 2
RIV
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |