Cerro CA vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
JUN
2 - 2
CER
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CER
0 - 0
RAC
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
CER
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CER
1 - 1
CSY
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CSM
4 - 1
CER
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
ATE
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
DAN
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 1
PRO
48%
28%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
UMO
1 - 0
PRO
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |