Cerro CA vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CER
0 - 2
DEF
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SUD
2 - 4
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CER
0 - 1
RAC
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CER
0 - 2
REN
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CER
3 - 5
RIV
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
ETS
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 1
PEÑ
22%
23%
56%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
DAN
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 3
PEÑ
20%
22%
58%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
REN
3 - 2
PEÑ
12%
19%
68%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |