Cerro CA vs Deportivo Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
CSC
1 - 2
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 0
CER
43%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
CER
0 - 1
CSM
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
CER
0 - 0
LFC
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
BVS
0 - 1
CER
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2006 |
COL
0 - 0
TAC
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
COL
0 - 2
CSC
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
BVS
1 - 0
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
COL
0 - 2
DAN
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 2
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +2 |