Cliftonville vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
CLI
5 - 0
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CLI
4 - 0
LIS
86%
11%
4%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CLI
4 - 0
CRU
44%
23%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
CLI
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
DON
0 - 1
CLI
10%
18%
72%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
DON
0 - 3
CRU
10%
19%
71%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
DON
1 - 4
LIN
9%
18%
74%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
DON
0 - 1
CLI
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 3
DON
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
DON
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |