Cleveland SC vs Erie Commodores analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cleveland SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
CLE
6 - 1
PIT
88%
9%
4%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CLE
4 - 1
RLU
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
RLU
1 - 1
CLE
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
MIA
4 - 1
CLE
78%
14%
7%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CLE
2 - 2
DET
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erie Commodores
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ECO
0 - 1
RLU
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BUF
5 - 1
ECO
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ECO
0 - 1
PIT
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ECO
4 - 4
RLU
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ECO
2 - 2
BUF
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -2 |