Clermont II vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
11º
9º
47
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OLY
4 - 3
CLE
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CLE
4 - 3
VAU
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
CLE
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CLE
0 - 1
RVA
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
3 - 1
CLE
22%
21%
58%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LYO
1 - 0
CHA
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
OLY
4 - 3
LYO
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LYO
0 - 2
CSL
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 1
LYO
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LYO
2 - 0
HYE
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |