Clapton vs Stansted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
78.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clapton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WEN
2 - 1
CLA
90%
8%
3%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
CLA
0 - 5
ANF
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CLA
1 - 0
SOU
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ROM
3 - 0
CLA
85%
9%
6%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
CLA
5 - 0
CLA
84%
12%
5%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Stansted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
2 - 3
STA
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
HAL
62%
19%
18%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
WEN
53%
21%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
TAK
2 - 0
STA
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 2
STA
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |