Highland Football League Scotland Round 16

Clachnacuddin vs Forres Mechanics analysis

Clachnacuddin Forres Mechanics
34 ELO 31
9.4% Tilt 3.1%
6428º General ELO ranking 8235º
69º Country ELO ranking 81º
ELO win probability
49.4%
Clachnacuddin
21.2%
Draw
29.4%
Forres Mechanics

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
Clachnacuddin
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.4%
Win probability
Forres Mechanics
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Clachnacuddin
+15%
+22%
Forres Mechanics

Points and table prediction

Clachnacuddin
Their league position
Forres Mechanics
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
46
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brora Rangers
82
82
100%
Brechin City
82
82
100%
Banks O' Dee
72
72
0%
Inverurie Loco Works
72
72
0%
Fraserburgh
63
63
100%
Clachnacuddin
59
59
100%
Buckie Thistle
58
58
100%
Formartine United
55
55
100%
Huntly
48
48
100%
Forres Mechanics
10º
46
46
10º
100%
Deveronvale
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Turriff United
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Nairn County
13º
37
37
13º
100%
Wick Academy
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Keith
15º
32
32
15º
100%
Lossiemouth
16º
20
20
16º
100%
Strathspey Thistle
17º
17
17
17º
100%
Rothes
18º
11
11
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Clachnacuddin
Forres Mechanics
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Clachnacuddin
Forres Mechanics
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Clachnacuddin
Clachnacuddin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
LIN
Linlithgow Rose
3 - 0
Clachnacuddin
CLA
73%
16%
11%
33 48 15 0
12 Oct. 2024
CLA
Clachnacuddin
3 - 1
Turriff United
TUR
40%
22%
39%
31 35 4 +2
05 Oct. 2024
ROT
Rothes
0 - 4
Clachnacuddin
CLA
29%
22%
50%
30 23 7 +1
28 Sep. 2024
CLA
Clachnacuddin
3 - 1
Nairn County
NAI
27%
23%
51%
27 37 10 +3
21 Sep. 2024
CLA
Clachnacuddin
0 - 3
Banks O' Dee
BAN
9%
17%
75%
28 53 25 -1

Matches

Forres Mechanics
Forres Mechanics
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
FOR
Forres Mechanics
3 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
9%
18%
74%
31 58 27 0
12 Oct. 2024
BUC
Buckie Thistle
1 - 2
Forres Mechanics
FOR
88%
9%
3%
29 57 28 +2
05 Oct. 2024
FOR
Forres Mechanics
1 - 3
Deveronvale
DEV
62%
19%
19%
30 24 6 -1
28 Sep. 2024
FOR
Forres Mechanics
1 - 2
Jeanfield Swifts
JSW
21%
18%
61%
31 41 10 -1
21 Sep. 2024
FOR
Forres Mechanics
4 - 3
Wick Academy
WIC
54%
21%
25%
30 27 3 +1