Cjarlins Muzane vs Cartigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
5º
17º
8º
45
5º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
85% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cjarlins Muzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
4 - 2
CJA
23%
23%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CJA
1 - 1
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AST
0 - 3
CJA
17%
20%
64%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CJA
0 - 1
POR
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SDA
1 - 1
CJA
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEG
22%
23%
55%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ADB
2 - 4
CAR
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACE
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |