Cjarlins Muzane vs AC Este analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cjarlins Muzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
DEL
0 - 1
CJA
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CJA
2 - 3
VDB
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
CJA
46%
22%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TRE
3 - 2
CJA
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CJA
3 - 1
CAR
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ACE
1 - 1
TRE
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
ACE
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ACE
0 - 1
BEL
51%
24%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 0
ACE
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ACE
3 - 1
TAM
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |