Ciudad de Lucena vs Córdoba CF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
13º
6º
56
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
CDL
1 - 1
CDA
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CDL
2 - 1
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
CDL
22%
26%
52%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CDL
2 - 2
MAL
47%
25%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
CDL
1 - 2
HUE
44%
26%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Córdoba CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
HUE
2 - 2
CRD
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 2
CRD
14%
20%
66%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 1
CRD
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 3
CRD
8%
16%
76%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRD
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |