City of Liverpool vs Stockton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
City of Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CIT
3 - 0
FAR
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
COL
4 - 0
CIT
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
RYL
2 - 3
CIT
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
CIT
0 - 4
CLI
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
CLI
36%
23%
42%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Stockton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CUR
4 - 0
STO
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
STO
3 - 0
DUN
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
STO
2 - 3
CLE
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
OUF
2 - 1
STO
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 4
STO
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |